Public data only. IHS figures stay confidential.
Who do we buy from, and what do our operations emit?
At IHS Towers I gathered procurement data for ESG reporting: local and foreign suppliers by count and spend, linked to emissions from diesel generators, offices and warehouses. This app rebuilds that report on public Canadian data.
Local suppliersFY'24 to FY'2682.0%31,445 of 38,370
Local spendContract value87.6%Foreign: C$11.5B
Scope 1 and 2Federal operations, FY'251,018.8 ktCO2e
Since FY'06Change in totalminus 42.5%1,770.8 kt in FY'06
What I built
- Split suppliers into local and foreign by count and spend, using the cleaned supplier keys from my spend app.
- Mapped local spend to provinces from the postal code.
- Built a scope 1 and 2 view of federal facilities and fleet from the Greening Government open data.
- Added a fuel calculator for diesel and gasoline on the official ECCC factors, with 2025 NRCan ratings for road distance.
From my IHS work, and what is new
- From IHS: the report design, the local and foreign split, and the link to diesel, office and warehouse emissions.
- New: every number here, all from public Government of Canada files.
Forecast to 2030
- I tested ETS, AutoARIMA and a linear trend on held out years, with a seasonal naive line as the baseline. The screen shows the model with the lowest error for each series.
- Federal operations: the linear trend had the lowest error, 4.60% against 5.34% for the baseline. It reaches 1,051.4 kt in FY'31, 66.1% above an SBTi 1.5C pathway of 633.1 kt from FY'20.
- On yearly data, simple models are hard to beat. For federal operations, ETS and AutoARIMA both forecast a flat line at the latest value.
- Canada and the US are shown too. The SBTi pathway is a company method, so for countries it is only an illustration.
What the numbers show
Most suppliers and most spend are local, and three foreign suppliers hold 73% of foreign spend. Federal scope 1 and 2 emissions are 42.5% below FY'06, and natural gas is the largest source. The two datasets sit side by side; supply chain emissions are not covered.